Scientific journal
Научное обозрение. Медицинские науки
ISSN 2500-0780
ПИ №ФС77-57452

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FORECASTING LATE HEALING OF ULCERATIVE DEFECT IN PATIENTS WITH PEPTIC ULCER DISEASE

Goryacheva А.А. 1 Ivanishkina E.V. 1 Kovalenko Т.В. 2 Rezvantsev M.V. 2 Barsukov A.V. 2
1 Smolensk state medical Academy of Ministry of health of the Russian Federation
2 Federal state owned military educational institution of higher professional education «the Military-medical Academy. S.M. Kirova of the Ministry of defence of the Russian Federation
With the help of a detailed analysis of the clinical and anamnestic and laboratory-instrumental indicators in patients with peptic ulcer of stomach and duodenal кишеи, as well as vegetative characteristics of a heart rhythm, developed mathematical model of forecasting the unfavorable course of the disease ( long, more than 21 days, healing of ulcerative defect) using linear discriminant analysis. With this purpose examined 98 patients with peptic ulcer in the phase of deterioration, the average age of 33,8±of 0.76 years, the duration of ulcer anamnesis 3,70±of 0.76 years. All patients were evaluated parameters of the standard of electrocardiography, to assess the neuro-vegetative indices used a heart rate variability analysis. The effectiveness of the obtained model is greater than 75%, which confirms the possibility of quality of forecasting unfavorable course of deterioration (of a late healing of ulcerative defect) in patients with peptic ulcer disease.