Scientific journal
Научное обозрение. Медицинские науки
ISSN 2500-0780
ПИ №ФС77-57452

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THE DEVELOPMENT OF RECOMENDATION FOR REDUCING THE INCIDENCE OF CHRONIC DESEASE OF TONSILS AND ADENOIDS IN THE POPULATION OF OMSK

Kazakovkhev V.P. 1 Kulikova O.M. 2 Anokhina Y.Y. 3
1 Municipal Budgetary Public Health Serviсes «Omsk state clinical hospital № 1»
2 Federal State Budgetary Educational Institution of Higher Professional Education « Siberian State Automobile - Road Academy (SSARA)
3 The Department of Health in the Omsk region
We used the author’s technique of supporting in management decisions for the developing of recommendations for reducing the morbidity of chronic conditions of the tonsils and adenoids in the population of Omsk city. The main stages of this method was performed with using a visual language “DRAGON”. The research process was carried out by measuring the resulting variable. The identification of significant factors which had an influence for the resulting variables were performed with used the regression analysis. The identifying of changes patterns in the result variable and the factors was made with the help of the phase analysis. The anticipation was carried out with using a polynomial approximation. The dynamics of changes in the objectives was set in changing outcome variables with using GAP-analysis. The calculation of the controllable factors in the given constraints was performed with using of Newton’s method in the FactorPRO software. The calculation of risk was made with application of a Monte – Carlo’s method. We developed the recommendation for reducing the incidence of the tonsils and adenoids chronic diseases in the city of Omsk.